1010010001010101
0x0d495114f669ef3a38ee4a9bd5e95b81be914fa8
- Realised P&L
- $250.01
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $18.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.035 | $17.25 | −$37.75 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.006 | $1.30 | −$4.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$216.53at 0.057Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$97.38at 0.060Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$83.97at 0.028Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
- +$74.00at 0.140Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$66.60at 0.042Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 10-26 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-12 06:46 | Falcons vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.71 | $17.75 |
| 09-12 06:45 | Buccaneers vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.65 | $16.90 |
| 09-12 06:45 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.71 | $17.75 |
| 09-12 06:45 | Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.66 | $17.16 |
| 09-12 06:44 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.65 | $17.55 |
| 09-12 06:44 | Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.65 | $17.55 |
| 09-11 08:38 | Commanders vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.69 | $16.56 |
| 09-11 08:37 | Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.79 | $16.59 |
| 09-11 08:37 | Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.66 | $16.50 |
| 09-11 08:37 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.69 | $15.87 |
| 09-11 08:36 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.64 | $16.00 |
| 09-11 08:35 | Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.62 | $16.73 |
| 08-20 18:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | SELL | 0.615 | $246.00 |