0x0D4552eb41469d56cc5B977E89A2e5157e38DE92-1771798873458
0x0d4552eb41469d56cc5b977e89a2e5157e38de92
- Realised P&L
- $94.38
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $17.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.232 | $17.83 | −$6.43 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.40at 0.840BNP Paribas Open: Adam Walton vs Learner Tien
- +$1.15at 0.998Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.67at 0.915Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 11?
- +$0.56at 0.999Will Solana reach $200 in February?
- +$0.45at 0.920Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 08:57 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | BUY | 0.315 | $24.25 |
| 06-10 03:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.78 |
| 06-10 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 11? | BUY | 0.911 | $7.20 |
| 05-28 10:22 | Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 05-28 10:20 | Claude 4.8 released by July 31? | BUY | 0.957 | $8.60 |
| 05-28 10:19 | Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 05-28 10:18 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 05-01 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2? | BUY | 0.979 | $10.77 |
| 05-01 08:22 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 05-01 08:21 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 03-30 00:46 | Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $602.79 |
| 03-30 00:45 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $610.24 |
| 03-28 21:07 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $610.87 |
| 03-28 21:07 | Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $643.42 |
| 03-28 02:03 | Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $644.06 |