dhuraander
0x0d410df0267193ec91b89b8a1f50fc19a68f2301
- Realised P&L
- $-23.24
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $5.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20? · No | 0.890 | 0.880 | $4.40 | −$0.05 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.480 | $0.85 | −$0.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Down | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Down | 0.435 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Down | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Up | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.61at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$3.90at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$3.22at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$2.36at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
- +$2.32at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-18 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8899999916 | $2.12 |
| 09-18 15:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.71 |
| 09-18 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.71 |
| 09-18 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.67 |
| 09-18 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.68 |
| 09-18 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9399999882 | $1.59 |
| 09-18 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.59 |
| 09-18 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.44 |
| 09-18 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.45 |
| 09-18 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.38 |
| 09-18 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.38 |
| 09-17 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.839999916 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $1.20 |