0x0d2f1e34Ea2C5241C7E50252B73ef2E6044bf91C-1764871488553
0x0d2f1e34ea2c5241c7e50252b73ef2e6044bf91c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.50
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $16.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.950 | 1.000 | $11.58 | +$0.58 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · No | 0.960 | 1.000 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.500 | $1.59 | −$0.51 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.095 | $1.58 | −$3.42 |
| Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.23 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-04 18:20 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.95 | $11.00 |
| 12-04 18:18 | Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 12-04 18:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 12-04 18:13 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.6599999309 | $2.10 |
| 12-04 18:12 | Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.23 |
| 12-04 18:11 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |