Ajoke209
0x0d2ae829aa45cfa1751fac285d4ac30fd879f6c3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.13
- Volume
- $297.25
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $6.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.069 | $4.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.075 | $1.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.034 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.006 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.005 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$4.97 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.030548926 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:37 | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | BUY | 0.0889999965 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0157342656 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 18:41 | Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 20:57 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 17:58 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0879999951 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 12:00 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1159999954 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:59 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0739999995 | $5.00 |