0x0d2a645fedc479b9011da80931632f1435977521
0x0d2a645fedc479b9011da80931632f1435977521
- Realised P&L
- $-76.71
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $0.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| Will FC Juárez win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.69at 0.367Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$21.23at 0.195Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 4.5
- +$18.60at 0.598Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 6.5
- +$17.40at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
- +$17.37at 0.616Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $12.34 |
| 09-28 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999955 | $11.00 |
| 09-28 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $12.35 |
| 09-28 04:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999741 | $12.00 |
| 09-28 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $12.25 |
| 09-28 04:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999992 | $12.00 |
| 09-28 04:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $5.62 |
| 09-28 04:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 04:11 | Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.27 |
| 09-28 02:26 | Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 02:26 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.0036363636 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 02:25 | Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 02:24 | Will FC Juárez win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 01:53 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 01:49 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8089999628 | $4.00 |