PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

muchobueno

0x0d2a29610c8f00021c557f77f7a2943ea90eaa32

Realised P&L
$58.69
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
243
Open portfolio
$332.89

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded243
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 10? · No0.9891.000$101.05+$1.06
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10? · No0.9901.000$100.98+$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? · No0.9911.000$60.50+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10? · No0.9911.000$40.36+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 10? · No0.9931.000$29.98+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10? · No0.9400.003$0.01−$4.74
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 15? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$4.74
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$4.75
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$4.45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$4.35
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$4.40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 29? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$4.98
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 25? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$4.38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$4.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 01:39Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.993$29.79
10-10 01:07Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.939999996$4.75
10-09 23:04Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 10?BUY0.9889999999$99.99
10-09 22:17Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10?BUY0.9897030594$99.99
10-09 18:04Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 9?BUY0.8599999844$4.40
10-09 17:39Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 9?BUY0.9389999907$4.75
10-09 17:06Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 9?BUY0.8479999218$4.34
10-09 16:42Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.992$9.92
10-09 03:23Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 9?BUY0.8799999922$4.50
10-08 23:48Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?BUY0.9369998763$4.75
10-08 17:14Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8?BUY0.7679999002$3.94
10-07 18:08Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?BUY0.8399999768$4.35
10-06 01:29Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?BUY0.7099999627$4.38
10-05 14:19Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 5?BUY0.9389999907$4.75
10-05 04:15Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 5?BUY0.9119999875$4.66