muchobueno
0x0d2a29610c8f00021c557f77f7a2943ea90eaa32
- Realised P&L
- $58.69
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $332.89
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.47at 0.884Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
- +$1.94at 0.981Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 3?
- +$1.94at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 5?
- +$1.77at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?
- +$1.73at 0.720Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.993 | $29.79 |
| 10-10 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.939999996 | $4.75 |
| 10-09 23:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $99.99 |
| 10-09 22:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9897030594 | $99.99 |
| 10-09 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.8599999844 | $4.40 |
| 10-09 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.9389999907 | $4.75 |
| 10-09 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.8479999218 | $4.34 |
| 10-09 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 10-09 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.8799999922 | $4.50 |
| 10-08 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.9369998763 | $4.75 |
| 10-08 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.7679999002 | $3.94 |
| 10-07 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.8399999768 | $4.35 |
| 10-06 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.7099999627 | $4.38 |
| 10-05 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9389999907 | $4.75 |
| 10-05 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9119999875 | $4.66 |