0x0D20e0aB6b1a817c9e6Db622A0fa2B45ef0930EA-1768520567855
0x0d20e0ab6b1a817c9e6db622a0fa2b45ef0930ea
- Realised P&L
- $68.38
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $62.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.48at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.80at 0.359Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$13.93at 0.266Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$13.41at 0.276Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$10.18at 0.336Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 10:04 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.947 | $27.06 |
| 09-30 20:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2515974425 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 20:28 | Will Avengers: Doomsday rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 20:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3431372448 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 23:25 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:23 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | BUY | 0.2429999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:36 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:29 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 23:29 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 23:56 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 23:00 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 22:58 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $15.79 |
| 08-26 18:37 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.065802712 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 18:36 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.3719999592 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 18:34 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |