0x0D2031e4A9CDAd8428e87bDaabA4c76A9d6c60
0x0d2031e4a9cdad8428e87bdaaba4c76a9d6c606a
- Realised P&L
- $20.5k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 568
- Open portfolio
- $11.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded568
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.090 | $11.70 | −$37.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.436Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11?
- +$3.1kat 0.421Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20?
- +$3.0kat 0.455Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?
- +$2.6kat 0.427Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 18?
- +$2.6kat 0.422Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 14:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.04 | $5.07 |
| 06-17 14:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.90 |
| 06-17 14:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.05 | $12.50 |
| 06-17 14:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 06-16 13:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? | SELL | 0.33 | $82.50 |
| 06-09 13:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.10 |
| 06-09 13:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? | SELL | 0.29 | $63.13 |
| 06-03 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.071 | $7.78 |
| 06-03 14:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.90 |
| 06-03 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.071 | $7.10 |
| 06-03 14:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.99 |
| 06-03 14:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3? | SELL | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 05-26 18:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 05-21 15:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22? | BUY | 0.28 | $42.00 |
| 05-11 19:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12? | SELL | 0.46 | $10.68 |