0x0D2031e4A9CDAd8428e87bDaabA4c76A9d6c60
0x0d2031e4a9cdad8428e87bdaaba4c76a9d6c606a
- Realised P&L
- $20.2k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 575
- Open portfolio
- $246.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded575
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.017 | $163.76 | −$129.08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.075 | $75.00 | −$175.00 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.060 | $7.80 | −$41.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.436Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11?
- +$3.1kat 0.421Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20?
- +$3.0kat 0.455Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?
- +$2.6kat 0.427Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 18?
- +$2.6kat 0.422Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.031 | $15.50 |
| 09-29 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.18 | $90.00 |
| 09-29 07:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $250.00 |
| 09-16 20:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.013 | $137.25 |
| 09-13 13:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.012 | $58.48 |
| 09-11 18:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.02 | $9.70 |
| 09-11 18:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.10 |
| 09-11 15:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.024 | $35.88 |
| 06-17 14:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.04 | $5.07 |
| 06-17 14:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.90 |
| 06-17 14:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.05 | $12.50 |
| 06-17 14:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? | SELL | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 06-16 13:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? | SELL | 0.33 | $82.50 |
| 06-09 13:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.10 |
| 06-09 13:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? | SELL | 0.29 | $63.13 |