PolyBot

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Traders

0x0d18db2eb91e458b9b5f468025c93d0a3f71f157

0x0d18db2eb91e458b9b5f468025c93d0a3f71f157

Realised P&L
$-24.23
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$236.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? · Yes0.6400.615$61.50−$2.50
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? · Yes0.8700.869$16.51−$0.02
Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? · Yes0.4600.415$16.40−$1.78
Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2? · No0.2610.295$15.07+$1.76
Will Anna Kindy win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.7600.695$13.90−$1.30
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $180B? · Yes0.8410.815$12.58−$0.41
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election? · Yes0.5500.560$11.20+$0.20
Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.7500.738$8.86−$0.15
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? · No0.4400.415$8.30−$0.50
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026? · Yes0.4100.380$7.20−$0.57
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No0.0970.248$7.00+$4.25
Will Sunita Dhir win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.4300.340$6.80−$1.80
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.3400.335$6.43−$0.10
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election? · Yes0.3800.285$5.70−$1.90
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027? · No0.3200.285$5.70−$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.