0x2668376546789744188D80f86f4D632745311D39-1775694262935
0x0d169b4e71b98b48b5f0d3be36f1d8a0eb136439
- Realised P&L
- $-235.77
- Volume
- $54.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $32.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.712 | 0.769 | $32.00 | +$2.37 |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.72at 0.517Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$-229.75at 0.011Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 00:32 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7119999954 | $29.63 |
| 06-30 03:55 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.999 | $9.79 |
| 06-30 03:52 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 03:16 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 03:01 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 02:47 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 02:46 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $53.34 |
| 06-16 01:33 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $38.54 |
| 06-14 07:53 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0069999998 | $38.49 |
| 06-14 02:57 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0088573325 | $38.50 |
| 06-14 01:43 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $38.50 |
| 06-13 04:30 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.013 | $38.52 |
| 06-13 01:49 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0146527904 | $38.33 |
| 06-11 19:54 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.027 | $19.44 |
| 06-11 19:48 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0269999974 | $10.00 |