0x0d08e260fc9709385a7bcd67cc7544a643173572
- Realised P&L
- $-12.14
- Volume
- $406.00
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $38.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.425 | 0.911 | $10.94 | +$5.84 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No | 0.885 | 0.964 | $9.64 | +$0.79 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.850 | 0.915 | $4.58 | +$0.33 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.753 | 0.865 | $4.32 | +$0.56 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.184 | 0.136 | $3.12 | −$1.12 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.556 | 0.088 | $2.65 | −$14.02 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.085 | $1.53 | −$1.09 |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.105 | $1.05 | −$1.15 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.036 | $0.61 | −$1.34 |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.23at 0.500Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$-0.06at 0.042Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
- +$-19.73at 0.500Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 08:39 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.68 |
| 06-09 15:18 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.071 | $1.42 |
| 04-23 00:53 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.425 | $5.10 |
| 04-23 00:53 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.576 | $12.67 |
| 04-23 00:53 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.248 | $3.22 |
| 04-23 00:53 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.753 | $3.77 |
| 04-23 00:53 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.885 | $8.85 |
| 04-23 00:53 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.115 | $1.96 |
| 04-23 00:53 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 04-19 10:17 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.101 | $1.01 |
| 04-19 10:17 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 04-19 10:16 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 04-19 10:16 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 04-19 10:16 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 04-08 14:49 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.166 | $4.98 |