QuantMaverick
0x0cfd0aa04bd954585d406b72fb3efde5c0339813
- Realised P&L
- $-229.53
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $265.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.824 | $265.64 | −$34.36 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · No | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$137.91 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.85at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$141.22at 0.565Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$117.91at 0.809Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$81.19at 0.665Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$56.35at 0.730Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:14 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | SELL | 0.7122476702 | $45.09 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.789744629 | $50.00 |
| 08-11 04:58 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9300131813 | $300.00 |
| 06-25 02:23 | Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026? | BUY | 0.9665753722 | $350.00 |
| 05-28 05:55 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.36 |
| 05-15 03:02 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? | BUY | 0.8235156377 | $100.00 |
| 05-15 02:55 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |
| 05-15 02:52 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9474978768 | $390.00 |
| 04-08 23:35 | Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $103.45 |
| 04-01 16:00 | Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 02-04 07:06 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $200.00 |
| 02-04 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999987 | $300.00 |
| 01-18 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9148948854 | $49.85 |
| 01-18 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999958 | $49.83 |
| 01-18 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8244481642 | $49.48 |