0x0cf55545250ce56d9984a143401829cff437b8ef
- Realised P&L
- $-519.61
- Volume
- $59.9k
- Markets traded
- 757
- Open portfolio
- $120.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded757
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.39at 0.332Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$69.73at 0.359Magic vs. Lakers
- +$65.85at 0.044Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$55.33at 0.538Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
- +$52.57at 0.500Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 00:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7499999719 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 12:31 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 21:44 | Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.60 |
| 08-01 21:43 | Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $35.00 |
| 07-05 14:50 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999847 | $9.00 |
| 07-05 10:35 | Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.0437872868 | $9.00 |
| 07-05 00:46 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0576033045 | $8.99 |
| 07-05 00:45 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.054957032 | $9.00 |
| 06-15 15:05 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999977 | $9.00 |
| 06-15 14:51 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | SELL | 0.3115558767 | $6.47 |
| 06-14 12:05 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.943 | $9.00 |
| 06-13 16:56 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | SELL | 0.58 | $8.69 |
| 06-13 14:12 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.00 |
| 06-13 12:49 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.8199999909 | $9.00 |
| 06-13 02:50 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | SELL | 0.57 | $20.83 |