0x0CF1Aa2e7069DBE2023d14C139B76b8876F64943-1773432216640
0x0cf1aa2e7069dbe2023d14c139b76b8876f64943
- Realised P&L
- $2.44
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $17.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $17.91 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.89at 0.992Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$0.69at 0.974Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$0.52at 0.981Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 07-03 07:42 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 06-22 07:11 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 05-19 03:23 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 05-11 07:10 | Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.50 |
| 04-25 04:40 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.63 |
| 04-23 08:47 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.72 |
| 04-23 08:45 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.72 |
| 04-22 09:39 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.80 |
| 04-21 09:33 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.80 |
| 04-20 03:01 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 03-18 04:01 | Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.995 | $604.96 |
| 02-11 23:56 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9739999999 | $25.94 |