CSSMLNDSMDVRSNSMVSMQLIVB
0x0ced027fda6b8fc9a2e68e7513e168f4ec145452
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $576.6k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.676 | 0.335 | $4.8k | −$4.9k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.085 | $1.3k | −$7.0k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.4kat 0.871Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$2.8kat 0.696Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$2.5kat 0.695Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$123.89at 0.746Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$63.53at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 09:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999898 | $13.00 |
| 09-11 09:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6757022673 | $9.8k |
| 09-02 09:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2494712789 | $8.21 |
| 08-14 10:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 08-14 10:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999999 | $462.08 |
| 08-14 09:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $9.24 |
| 08-05 21:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999849 | $14.57 |
| 08-05 21:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5635220363 | $3.6k |
| 08-04 00:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5553170109 | $3.8k |
| 07-31 10:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $7.52 |
| 07-20 00:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998576 | $1.48 |
| 07-17 01:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $21.14 |
| 07-15 05:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999827 | $3.61 |
| 07-15 05:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $505.02 |
| 07-15 04:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999992 | $51.88 |