aaa771
0x0ceb818194c692850ca63fd6d8f998d7a2c72c0b
- Realised P&L
- $-383.97
- Volume
- $34.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $32.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.022 | $21.59 | −$83.95 |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $10.66 | +$1.18 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$221.85at 0.900Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?
- +$53.12at 0.366Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$36.80at 0.770Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
- +$-24.81at 0.400US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- +$-36.52at 0.620US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.11 | $105.54 |
| 09-10 13:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $268.45 |
| 09-10 13:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.4 | $66.40 |
| 09-10 13:44 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0137600061 | $34.40 |
| 09-10 13:44 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.003310411 | $33.10 |
| 09-10 13:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $99.23 |
| 09-10 13:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.48241288 | $241.21 |
| 09-04 08:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.20 |
| 09-04 07:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.36 |
| 09-01 06:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $124.04 |
| 08-28 09:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.357 | $178.50 |
| 08-27 08:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.68 | $204.00 |
| 12-31 09:00 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15? | BUY | 0.8998700145 | $2.0k |