111111a1
0x0ce5e8a70032d61ca3d780cbd05cb3c2c27f9298
- Realised P&L
- $-592.78
- Volume
- $44.2k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $449.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.585 | 0.430 | $231.40 | −$83.24 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.703 | $217.78 | +$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.00at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$141.78at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$140.39at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$117.87at 0.527Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$102.71at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 04:03 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $8.99 |
| 08-31 00:04 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6999154839 | $216.97 |
| 08-29 10:17 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 08-19 23:36 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $115.25 |
| 08-14 14:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.978849006 | $116.69 |
| 08-05 12:58 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9508335241 | $249.25 |
| 08-05 12:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $127.22 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9763953137 | $129.18 |
| 07-29 12:36 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $128.64 |
| 07-27 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $52.33 |
| 07-27 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $52.81 |
| 07-27 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $63.37 |
| 07-23 13:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2029024691 | $14.79 |
| 07-23 13:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $40.04 |
| 07-23 13:21 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $13.85 |