renaissance-man
0x0cd1cdc4259a8f88fdf179ce45696d6b50840b70
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $45.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,189
- Open portfolio
- $4.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,189
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.59at 0.667Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs
- +$41.02at 0.783Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- +$40.58at 0.870Brisbane International: Daria Kasatkina vs Anastasia Potapova
- +$38.46at 0.680Spread: Magic (-7.5)
- +$37.25at 0.832Michigan State Spartans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 00:22 | Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? | SELL | 0.85776 | $1.07 |
| 09-02 00:21 | Will Khamzat Chimaev be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | SELL | 0.943 | $1.05 |
| 09-02 00:21 | Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.965 | $1.08 |
| 09-02 00:21 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.70 |
| 09-02 00:20 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.914 | $5.50 |
| 09-02 00:20 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 07-09 23:07 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5674999998 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 23:54 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 23:54 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 23:53 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 23:53 | Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.7399999349 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 23:53 | Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 23:53 | Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 23:52 | Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 23:52 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |