PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0CCa834588028c2C092C70d0467E242F86fe700f-1777052806747

0x0cca834588028c2c092c70d0467e242f86fe700f

Realised P&L
$223.13
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$611.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.7940.905$198.19+$24.26
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.967$108.24+$9.69
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · No0.8140.870$107.01+$6.89
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.8000.775$106.95−$3.45
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · No0.9000.940$68.58+$2.88
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.956$21.50+$0.58
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · Yes0.2590.004$0.60−$38.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 12:22Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?BUY0.82$32.80
10-26 06:42Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?BUY0.814$100.12
10-08 11:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 10?BUY0.045$0.06
10-07 22:39Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthBUY0.33$59.40
09-12 17:30Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.16$64.00
09-10 17:29Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.62$24.80
09-09 11:12Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.544686$27.23
08-29 22:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 31?BUY0.0835625$40.11
08-19 14:22Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.83$58.10
08-18 11:12Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?BUY0.259$38.85
08-16 08:45Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.66$82.50
08-16 08:43Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?SELL0.1006728889$45.30
08-16 07:34Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.1592515953$34.94
08-16 07:31Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.852$98.07
08-12 11:05UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.78$12.78