madurini
0x0cc57d83fd05cc76af7a7e398663d9d80ff23ec6
- Realised P&L
- $-203.63
- Volume
- $57.1k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $150.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.973 | 0.960 | $95.95 | −$1.35 |
| APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.908 | 0.956 | $54.68 | +$2.76 |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be blue on May 5, 2026? · No | 0.893 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$728.54at 0.749Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 9?
- +$580.17at 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?
- +$573.12at 0.747Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?
- +$569.49at 0.744Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18?
- +$568.27at 0.771Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 15:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.59 |
| 07-05 15:38 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.984 | $900.00 |
| 07-05 15:37 | APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.949 | $8.58 |
| 06-09 14:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $970.03 |
| 06-06 19:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 06-06 19:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.9969995269 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 02:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $947.15 |
| 05-22 01:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $650.00 |
| 05-06 15:50 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $200.00 |
| 05-06 15:47 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9739999998 | $25.00 |
| 05-06 15:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9949999994 | $111.00 |
| 05-06 15:45 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $200.00 |
| 05-04 13:24 | Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$130 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 05-04 13:23 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,950 Week of May 4 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 05-04 13:22 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $695 on May 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |