marketmeta
0x0cc2d1207e77eb63270baee8c0f5266c49d8f465
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $195.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $261.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.015 | $261.58 | −$988.56 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.004 | $0.35 | −$49.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.700Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$426.07at 0.500Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$49.30at 0.500Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$-8.6kat 0.267Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 04:13 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.924 | $6.32 |
| 06-12 20:36 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 06-12 20:33 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.964 | $96.40 |
| 06-12 20:28 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.964 | $96.40 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.14 | $8.6k |
| 10-19 10:35 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.2669283132 | $18.1k |
| 10-19 10:33 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | SELL | 0.8356665712 | $18.1k |
| 07-23 03:34 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.0k |
| 07-23 02:01 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.2k |
| 07-22 21:10 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.7479183803 | $4.7k |