PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

marketmeta

0x0cc2d1207e77eb63270baee8c0f5266c49d8f465

Realised P&L
$-6.2k
Volume
$195.6k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$261.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0740.015$261.58$988.56
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5000.004$0.35$49.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 04:13Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.924$6.32
06-12 20:36Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.993$99.30
06-12 20:33Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.964$96.40
06-12 20:28Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.964$96.40
11-01 22:50Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.14$8.6k
10-19 10:35Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.2669283132$18.1k
10-19 10:33Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?SELL0.8356665712$18.1k
07-23 03:34Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?BUY0.68$1.0k
07-23 02:01Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?BUY0.67$1.2k
07-22 21:10Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?BUY0.7479183803$4.7k