PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0Cb1543fbE1b9169d747fc736B1256A37cC8713E-1790036120262

0x0cb1543fbe1b9169d747fc736b1256a37cc8713e

Realised P&L
$10.68
Volume
$412.06
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$170.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? · No0.8691.000$39.98+$5.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? · No0.5951.000$35.34+$14.31
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 23? · No0.7700.665$21.28$3.36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 22? · No0.7601.000$19.99+$4.79
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 23? · No0.8200.855$15.65+$0.64
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 23? · No0.5550.665$6.65+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 23? · No0.8700.955$5.49+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? · Yes0.3201.000$5.00+$3.40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22? · Yes0.6600.870$4.35+$1.05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 22? · No0.6800.510$4.08$1.36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 23? · Yes0.2800.405$4.05+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23? · Yes0.2390.255$2.91+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 23? · Yes0.2450.290$2.90+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23? · Yes0.4600.475$2.38+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? · No0.6500.001$0.04$46.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 02:49Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 23?BUY0.87$5.00
09-22 02:48Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23?BUY0.23$1.48
09-22 02:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.87$4.35
09-22 02:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.88$4.40
09-22 02:41Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 23?BUY0.82$5.00
09-22 02:41Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.3$1.50
09-22 02:41Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 22?BUY0.83$4.15
09-22 02:41Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 23?BUY0.82$5.00
09-22 02:41Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 23?BUY0.82$5.00
09-22 02:30Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 22?BUY0.68$5.44
09-22 02:30Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23?BUY0.25$1.25
09-22 02:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.64$3.20
09-22 02:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.68$3.40
09-22 02:29Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.72$3.60
09-22 02:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.7$0.05