Liwubin13
0x0caeae012d5e305315629070aa96fdeb66fa273e
- Realised P&L
- $-0.53
- Volume
- $243.34
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.160 | $0.88 | −$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 13? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.140 | $0.86 | −$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.050 | $0.51 | −$0.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.060 | $0.38 | −$1.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 14? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.010 | $0.15 | −$1.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.012 | $0.14 | −$0.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.15at 0.769Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?
- +$0.41at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12?
- +$0.11at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 14?
- +$-0.08at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?
- +$-0.42at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.05 |
| 10-12 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.05 |
| 10-12 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.35 |
| 10-12 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.068 | $1.02 |
| 10-12 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.13 |
| 10-12 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.18 |
| 10-12 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.20 |
| 10-12 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.50 |
| 10-12 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 10-12 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.37 |
| 10-12 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.067 | $1.01 |
| 10-12 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.50 |
| 10-12 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.13 |
| 10-12 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.12 |
| 10-12 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |