Woldern3
0x0caa5470149d2c58b5aec30610bea4808721aa12
- Realised P&L
- $-63.64
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $52.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.036 | $52.00 | −$106.88 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.40 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.97 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.01 |
| Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.40at 0.230Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
- +$15.04at 0.316Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$1.00at 0.330Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?
- +$-0.40at 0.190Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- +$-25.61at 0.302Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 08:47 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $144.20 |
| 02-02 22:31 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February? | BUY | 0.11 | $10.01 |
| 02-02 22:30 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? | BUY | 0.028 | $8.68 |
| 02-02 22:19 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 02-02 22:19 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.54 |
| 01-31 21:00 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | BUY | 0.19 | $11.40 |
| 01-31 21:00 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 01-29 12:32 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.31625 | $6.96 |
| 01-28 10:00 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.219 | $7.45 |
| 01-28 09:58 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 01-27 21:06 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 01-27 21:06 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 01-27 21:05 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.449 | $13.47 |
| 01-27 21:02 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.449 | $4.49 |
| 01-27 20:42 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.25 |