Heyheyhey777
0x0c9dce14118e356cd873cef4af9f9cb6b901c227
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $631.3k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $52.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $52.2k | −$71.70 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.982 | $427.07 | +$6.81 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.989 | 0.956 | $38.34 | −$1.31 |
| Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.946 | $29.33 | +$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.3kat 0.748Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
- +$10.1kat 0.748Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$2.3kat 0.473Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$1.6kat 0.310Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
- +$1.0kat 0.976Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 14:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 09-04 14:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998174959 | $38.7k |
| 09-04 14:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.5k |
| 08-05 12:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $52.2k |
| 07-08 08:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.2k |
| 07-08 08:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.984451408 | $787.29 |
| 07-08 08:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.0k |
| 07-08 08:32 | Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9886234414 | $39.64 |
| 07-08 08:32 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9663433893 | $420.26 |
| 06-03 11:49 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9974483248 | $17.1k |
| 05-04 07:38 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.6k |
| 04-02 23:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.3k |
| 04-02 23:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.9k |
| 03-09 10:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.995 | $49.1k |
| 03-09 10:24 | Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $28.54 |