0x0c9bf1829b771af670a9e4f6e841594f3b07f80a
- Realised P&L
- $-89.90
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $62.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.96at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.46at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$11.20at 0.303Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$7.25at 0.407Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
- +$6.01at 0.137US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:45 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 09-12 10:03 | Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? | BUY | 0.8999998633 | $4.61 |
| 08-30 15:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 08-30 15:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 08-29 12:03 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 08-26 00:41 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.50 |
| 08-25 22:30 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.50 |
| 08-24 23:31 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999253 | $1.50 |
| 08-24 13:51 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4399999531 | $1.50 |
| 08-23 14:33 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.50 |
| 08-22 09:30 | Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.50 |
| 08-21 07:00 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.82 |
| 08-20 18:03 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.7299999746 | $4.89 |
| 08-20 02:26 | Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $1.62 |
| 08-18 05:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7199998822 | $4.89 |