PolyBot

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Traders

kildren

0x0c9741833997af0e5ae5789fa8fafd6f27651626

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$36.8k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$2.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6000.005$1.70$184.11
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.75$1.25
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.96
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.20
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.6000.000$0.00$750.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? · No0.3200.000$0.00$38.40
TikTok sale announced by March 31? · No0.6800.000$0.00$24.73
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No0.7100.000$0.00$923.00
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$18.02
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00$74.57
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$2.64
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? · No0.3600.000$0.00$72.36
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026? · No0.1300.000$0.00$12.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$2.45
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? · No0.3200.000$0.00$10.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-22 09:42Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?SELL0.977$164.14
02-03 13:46LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendSELL0.999$129.87
02-03 12:42LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.64$64.00
02-03 12:41LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.62$6.20
02-03 12:30LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.595$5.95
02-03 12:23LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.55$5.50
01-29 08:34Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?BUY0.49$2.45
01-26 13:07Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?BUY0.129556$12.96
01-19 16:15Will DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?SELL0.01$0.66
01-16 09:50MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.53$385.84
01-14 12:39Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.62$220.13
01-14 12:10Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.62$13.69
01-14 11:20Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.62$86.18
01-14 08:10MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.5636487546$150.94
01-14 07:10Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?BUY0.53$120.62