0x0C95AB6089b68b4c470704fD0232FB63dECA0fE6-1777476404459
0x0c95ab6089b68b4c470704fd0232fb63deca0fe6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.00
- Volume
- $38.49
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No | 0.380 | 0.655 | $1.72 | +$0.72 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.122 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.352 | 0.015 | $0.19 | −$4.31 |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.021 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 17:03 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 17:03 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.2899999397 | $2.50 |
| 04-30 04:40 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 04:06 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 16:13 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 04-29 16:11 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1769998704 | $1.00 |