0x0c95741E995721da2Ff62D6754b7b8E3D432EC3A-1768811754498
0x0c95741e995721da2ff62d6754b7b8e3d432ec3a
- Realised P&L
- $22.41
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $7.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.08at 0.178Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.05at 0.210Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$14.47at 0.180Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?
- +$7.31at 0.677Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$6.36at 0.750Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:04 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4399999343 | $1.34 |
| 09-18 12:02 | Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.71 |
| 09-18 12:01 | Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.71 |
| 08-16 04:51 | Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $35.13 |
| 07-28 02:06 | Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.02 |
| 07-21 08:23 | Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.740078187 | $28.27 |
| 07-10 00:48 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1759999426 | $2.33 |
| 07-10 00:48 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.388 | $2.43 |
| 07-10 00:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1759999394 | $2.02 |
| 07-10 00:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1789999322 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 00:46 | Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? | BUY | 0.8399998096 | $3.00 |
| 07-10 00:42 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.13 |
| 07-03 00:24 | Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999224 | $2.19 |
| 07-03 00:21 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.502499938 | $3.00 |
| 07-03 00:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.342 | $5.34 |