PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pmtosat-

0x0c93a4291ee2c43a4eae6ca6bcb11f40c3f5a00b

Realised P&L
$-13.2k
Volume
$743.6k
Markets traded
475
Open portfolio
$41.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded475
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · No0.9120.948$19.3k+$729.26
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9590.979$9.8k+$195.35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3180.365$4.8k+$615.29
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3130.365$3.3k+$470.22
Spread: Seahawks (-8.5) · Seahawks0.4800.265$2.3k−$1.9k
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? · No0.8730.728$1.5k−$300.54
Spread: Bengals (-3.5) · Bengals0.4690.020$429.12−$9.6k
Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1300.049$19.78−$33.24
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? · Yes0.1020.105$5.92+$0.20
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September? · Yes0.1400.019$2.60−$16.58
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00−$1.2k
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$122.50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$401.50
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$67.89
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$13.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 16:48Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?BUY0.73875$147.75
09-27 16:23Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)BUY0.48$4.2k
09-27 16:03Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?BUY0.7248598677$93.11
09-27 16:00Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?BUY0.642$59.31
09-27 14:54Spread: Bengals (-3.5)BUY0.4599999999$430.00
09-27 06:07Spread: Bengals (-3.5)BUY0.4699999999$673.00
09-27 05:21Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September?BUY0.028$0.21
09-27 05:10Spread: Bengals (-3.5)BUY0.47$9.0k
09-27 00:13Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.35$860.41
09-25 21:45Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.33$2.5k
09-19 05:18Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$938.22
09-19 05:16Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$2.0k
09-16 22:55Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?BUY0.102$5.72
09-16 22:51Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.13$22.49
09-09 05:24Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September?BUY0.149$1.64