pmtosat-
0x0c93a4291ee2c43a4eae6ca6bcb11f40c3f5a00b
- Realised P&L
- $-13.2k
- Volume
- $743.6k
- Markets traded
- 475
- Open portfolio
- $41.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded475
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.095Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$2.9kat 0.689Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?
- +$2.1kat 0.573Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$2.0kat 0.458England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.0kat 0.592Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:48 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | BUY | 0.73875 | $147.75 |
| 09-27 16:23 | Spread: Seahawks (-8.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $4.2k |
| 09-27 16:03 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | BUY | 0.7248598677 | $93.11 |
| 09-27 16:00 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | BUY | 0.642 | $59.31 |
| 09-27 14:54 | Spread: Bengals (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4599999999 | $430.00 |
| 09-27 06:07 | Spread: Bengals (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $673.00 |
| 09-27 05:21 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.21 |
| 09-27 05:10 | Spread: Bengals (-3.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $9.0k |
| 09-27 00:13 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $860.41 |
| 09-25 21:45 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.5k |
| 09-19 05:18 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $938.22 |
| 09-19 05:16 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 22:55 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? | BUY | 0.102 | $5.72 |
| 09-16 22:51 | Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.13 | $22.49 |
| 09-09 05:24 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September? | BUY | 0.149 | $1.64 |