0x0c88Fc04Dac8E653AFE679df3dD96Ebf42c77C45-1762355555792
0x0c88fc04dac8e653afe679df3dd96ebf42c77c45
- Realised P&L
- $-10.2k
- Volume
- $129.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev · Novak Djokovic | 0.440 | 0.445 | $3.0k | +$34.10 |
| Valencia vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv · Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0.490 | 0.515 | $71.00 | +$3.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Down | 0.241 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.45at 0.881Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
- +$199.76at 0.671Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$80.08at 0.701Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$58.60at 0.076US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$34.88at 0.590US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:44 | Valencia vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | BUY | 0.4896373132 | $67.50 |
| 10-05 08:37 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $3.0k |
| 10-05 08:37 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5274488971 | $6.2k |
| 10-05 07:16 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5393798754 | $1.0k |
| 10-05 07:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.83 | $543.66 |
| 10-05 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $31.88 |
| 10-05 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999925 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 07:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $7.64 |
| 10-05 07:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | SELL | 0.7508149959 | $46.06 |
| 10-05 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5999999952 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 07:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 06:58 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.644687856 | $470.78 |