fhjrt
0x0c82356b2e3defad0d37d38c78d493e5a5c09b11
- Realised P&L
- $-3.45
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $14.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $13.29 | −$0.01 |
| UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) · Roman Kopylov | 0.380 | 0.350 | $1.05 | −$0.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,300 October 20-26? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.16 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November? · No | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.21 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.79 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.85at 0.520Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
- +$0.86at 0.991Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
- +$0.32at 0.790Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?
- +$0.19at 0.998Iran leadership change by March 13?
- +$0.19at 0.998US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 15:18 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.30 |
| 09-27 15:16 | UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.38 | $1.14 |
| 08-05 11:46 | Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.40 |
| 06-08 11:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.00 |
| 06-06 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.00 |
| 06-01 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $94.00 |
| 05-26 09:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.00 |
| 05-20 02:14 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.90 |
| 05-15 08:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.00 |
| 05-13 03:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999972 | $93.00 |
| 05-10 11:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.00 |
| 05-07 03:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7? | BUY | 0.9989999902 | $93.00 |
| 04-30 03:22 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.00 |
| 04-26 01:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.97 |
| 04-21 03:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.89 |