bbb17367162806
0x0c787cc2962ee6464414da592b892c3886e077f1
- Realised P&L
- $-383.1k
- Volume
- $15.40M
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $16.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.465 | $16.3k | +$175.70 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.525 | $52.64 | +$0.50 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.1k |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.0k |
| Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-14? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.3k |
| Qatar vs. China · Qatar | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.3k |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.8k |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Tunisia | 0.297 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.9k |
| Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.8k |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.366 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.7k |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$315.5kat 0.450Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
- +$200.9kat 0.494France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
- +$192.7kat 0.686Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
- +$160.9kat 0.467Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
- +$157.2kat 0.700Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:47 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-29 18:33 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 08:31 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-09 19:01 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.5k |
| 09-06 19:01 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.6k |
| 09-03 19:57 | Will Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.62 | $7.92 |
| 09-03 05:11 | Will Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.72 | $59.07 |
| 08-29 13:31 | Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw? | SELL | 0.78 | $76.78 |
| 08-24 20:50 | Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.94 | $122.20 |
| 08-24 20:45 | Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.7k |
| 08-24 20:36 | Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.6k |
| 08-24 20:33 | Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.81 | $405.00 |
| 08-24 20:29 | Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.81 | $810.00 |
| 08-22 12:08 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.53 | $22.30 |
| 08-15 17:23 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |