0x0c76ffa31ba45e750c901a5cab219ba2df368307
- Realised P&L
- $153.96
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $9.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals · Minnesota Twins | 0.470 | 0.475 | $9.69 | +$0.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.60 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.80 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers · Wizards | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.22 |
| Penguins vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens · Lightning | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.48 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Spurs | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks · Bucks | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$794.88at 0.460Flyers vs. Islanders
- +$440.20at 0.380Cavaliers vs. Hawks
- +$367.50at 0.250Bucks vs. Wizards
- +$294.40at 0.540Rangers vs. Bruins
- +$288.60at 0.630Raptors vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 03:15 | Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.59 | $10.62 |
| 02-07 06:08 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.50 |
| 01-09 03:17 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 11-30 13:59 | Suns vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.31 | $40.30 |
| 11-30 12:34 | Bucks vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.25 | $122.50 |
| 11-30 12:09 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.27 | $199.80 |
| 11-29 15:02 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.41 | $299.30 |
| 11-27 15:09 | Canucks vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.49 | $97.51 |
| 11-27 14:51 | Flyers vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.46 | $677.12 |
| 11-26 13:29 | Wizards vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.34 | $79.22 |
| 11-26 12:32 | Bucks vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.27 | $118.80 |
| 11-26 11:53 | Cavaliers vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.38 | $269.80 |