PolyBot

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Traders

celery-cactus

0x0c7247a228d5864289410f1ca7950be6b9d8a042

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$475.8k
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$13.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.7370.964$5.9k+$1.4k
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · No0.8840.989$3.4k+$356.47
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · No0.9020.953$1.9k+$100.99
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.1500.235$1.1k+$397.57
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.8040.074$505.18$5.0k
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.4420.137$196.25$438.50
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1750.022$127.04$882.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0230.018$74.84$18.20
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1110.029$57.00$165.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5100.525$11.51+$0.33
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1320.004$3.38$96.20
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$1.41$35.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$106.97
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 14:03Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.0782456387$111.50
09-13 13:18Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.65$195.00
09-06 13:13Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1097720577$153.14
09-06 13:10Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.94$564.00
08-23 13:18Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.84$285.27
08-23 13:15Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?SELL0.972$9.72
08-23 13:13Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.001$4.30
08-23 13:12Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?SELL0.022$0.22
08-23 13:11Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.001$0.06
08-23 13:09Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.83$109.88
08-23 13:08Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?SELL0.999$499.50
08-23 13:01Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.08$190.21
08-23 13:00Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?BUY0.965$482.50
07-21 14:19Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.1324092329$99.58
07-21 14:12Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.84$247.73