celery-cactus
0x0c7247a228d5864289410f1ca7950be6b9d8a042
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $475.8k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $13.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.097Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
- +$949.89at 0.275Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$610.00at 0.390Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
- +$584.66at 0.764Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
- +$408.00at 0.920Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:03 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0782456387 | $111.50 |
| 09-13 13:18 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.65 | $195.00 |
| 09-06 13:13 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1097720577 | $153.14 |
| 09-06 13:10 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.94 | $564.00 |
| 08-23 13:18 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.84 | $285.27 |
| 08-23 13:15 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $9.72 |
| 08-23 13:13 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.30 |
| 08-23 13:12 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.22 |
| 08-23 13:11 | Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-23 13:09 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.83 | $109.88 |
| 08-23 13:08 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 08-23 13:01 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.08 | $190.21 |
| 08-23 13:00 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.965 | $482.50 |
| 07-21 14:19 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.1324092329 | $99.58 |
| 07-21 14:12 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.84 | $247.73 |