fishyfish
0x0c525435fa109a717f19dc069311baf73e982a79
- Realised P&L
- $-140.17
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $17.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.20at 0.660Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
- +$4.21at 0.890Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day?
- +$1.91at 0.045Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
- +$1.67at 0.166Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$0.00at 0.998Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 21:53 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? | BUY | 0.005571341 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 21:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 22:40 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 11-09 18:54 | Patriots vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 11-09 18:53 | Patriots vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:15 | "Gabby’s Dollhouse" grosses higher than "One Battle After Another" opening weekend? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 14:54 | Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 09-17 14:53 | Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-17 14:51 | Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 14:19 | Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 09-17 14:19 | Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.941 | $77.63 |
| 09-17 14:13 | Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-17 14:12 | Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.26 | $31.20 |
| 09-17 14:12 | Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.89 | $73.42 |