0x0c47a1b0bcedece0a250c656db314745f104a5da
0x0c47a1b0bcedece0a250c656db314745f104a5da
- Realised P&L
- $-26.12
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $28.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · Yes | 0.714 | 0.713 | $9.82 | −$0.02 |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.815 | $5.29 | +$0.36 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.445 | $5.02 | +$0.17 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.345 | $4.90 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1? · No | 0.630 | 0.540 | $3.94 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.26at 0.351Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.22at 0.812Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?
- +$0.56at 0.791Trump renames AI by October 31?
- +$0.21at 0.595Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$0.21at 0.595Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.24 |
| 10-01 07:26 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.7179999673 | $4.92 |
| 10-01 05:39 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.7099999639 | $4.92 |
| 10-01 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.46 |
| 09-30 23:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4299999911 | $4.85 |
| 09-30 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.629999982 | $4.90 |
| 09-30 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.80 |
| 09-30 20:08 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.7599999753 | $4.93 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999972 | $4.85 |
| 09-30 17:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.97 |
| 09-30 12:37 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.32 |
| 09-30 12:36 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.15 |
| 09-30 12:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.23 |
| 09-30 12:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.18 |
| 09-30 12:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.07 |