PolyBot

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Traders

0x0c47a1b0bcedece0a250c656db314745f104a5da

0x0c47a1b0bcedece0a250c656db314745f104a5da

Realised P&L
$-26.12
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$28.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · Yes0.7140.713$9.82−$0.02
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? · Yes0.7600.815$5.29+$0.36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? · Yes0.4300.445$5.02+$0.17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.3500.345$4.90−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1? · No0.6300.540$3.94−$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:10Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?SELL0.49$0.24
10-01 07:26Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?BUY0.7179999673$4.92
10-01 05:39Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?BUY0.7099999639$4.92
10-01 03:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?SELL0.18$3.46
09-30 23:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?BUY0.4299999911$4.85
09-30 23:10Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.629999982$4.90
09-30 23:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?BUY0.25$4.80
09-30 20:08Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?BUY0.7599999753$4.93
09-30 20:06Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999972$4.85
09-30 17:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.35$4.97
09-30 12:37Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?SELL0.93$10.32
09-30 12:36Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?SELL0.85$4.15
09-30 12:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.65$0.23
09-30 12:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.65$0.18
09-30 12:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.65$0.07