Mr-Fairmont
0x0c4434a12941dcd80ecc300ac91decc7557d7061
- Realised P&L
- $-0.66
- Volume
- $279.88
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $17.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.63at 0.098Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$4.83at 0.293Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.77at 0.520Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$2.65at 0.430Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.42at 0.380Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 17:54 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:54 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.42 |
| 07-01 17:45 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:44 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.72 |
| 07-01 17:09 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 03:02 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 03:00 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 19:02 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.5199999861 | $3.00 |
| 06-17 02:22 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 23:32 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 04-18 23:16 | Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 04-17 13:41 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2929999207 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 22:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 03:19 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 04-15 03:18 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |