afonsoo003
0x0c3d8f1e50210165a1fe186ef45c540fcff7f757
- Realised P&L
- $-12.3k
- Volume
- $4.38M
- Markets traded
- 2,925
- Open portfolio
- $635.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,925
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.680 | 0.395 | $329.05 | −$237.41 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.340 | 0.235 | $197.66 | −$88.31 |
| Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.515 | $52.01 | +$23.73 |
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.310 | $49.91 | +$7.97 |
| Will Benfica finish top 8 in UEL league phase? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.840 | $4.20 | +$1.70 |
| Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.075 | $3.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Arouca win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.594Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$2.2kat 0.928Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5
- +$2.1kat 0.486IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score
- +$1.6kat 0.949Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
- +$1.5kat 0.935Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tien
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 19:48 | Laver Cup: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik | BUY | 0.9899929765 | $841.49 |
| 09-20 10:47 | GKS Piast Gliwice vs. Pogon Szczecin: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-19 18:56 | CD Mafra vs. FC Tirsense: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8499999953 | $9.00 |
| 09-19 18:56 | CD Mafra vs. FC Tirsense: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 11:13 | Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8961681705 | $68.53 |
| 09-09 18:06 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.95 | $300.00 |
| 09-08 09:20 | Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $336.65 |
| 09-01 11:31 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.96 | $213.00 |
| 09-01 10:31 | Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.9900415 | $59.40 |
| 08-31 15:56 | Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool? | BUY | 0.95 | $57.00 |
| 08-30 11:20 | AD Machico vs. AD Camacha: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $26.98 |
| 08-30 10:39 | AD Machico vs. AD Camacha: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $284.20 |
| 08-29 17:38 | CD Fátima vs. Sport Benfica e Castelo Branco: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $231.40 |
| 08-29 11:38 | UD Oliveirense vs. SC Penalva do Castelo: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.889999999 | $72.00 |
| 08-17 16:00 | Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8499999987 | $65.00 |