SakuraDevil
0x0c3c6cedfc55e5977fd9ad1221b75d25c62a5eea
- Realised P&L
- $9.4k
- Volume
- $2.40M
- Markets traded
- 827
- Open portfolio
- $9.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded827
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.940US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.218US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.504US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.250Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.954Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 11-01 04:21 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 11-01 02:49 | Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $157.70 |
| 11-01 01:43 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 11-01 01:42 | Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0316177958 | $1.88 |
| 10-31 08:51 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.10 |
| 10-31 05:58 | Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.53 |
| 10-30 13:12 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $35.10 |
| 10-30 11:09 | Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.13 |
| 10-30 10:15 | Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0296 | $1.48 |
| 10-30 08:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | SELL | 0.84 | $26.46 |
| 10-30 08:25 | Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 10-30 06:23 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $16.13 |
| 10-30 06:23 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $38.76 |
| 10-30 05:26 | Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.884 | $88.40 |