PolyBot

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Traders

SakuraDevil

0x0c3c6cedfc55e5977fd9ad1221b75d25c62a5eea

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$2.34M
Markets traded
731
Open portfolio
$8.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded731
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9420.955$3.1k+$39.40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8840.945$3.0k+$194.08
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$351.59+$1.86
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8800.935$292.00+$17.18
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? · No0.8330.850$208.85+$4.17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6770.135$202.50$812.48
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9440.976$174.81+$5.71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2180.055$170.99$507.81
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5500.740$148.00+$38.00
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? · No0.4910.400$142.57$32.56
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.2500.065$135.45$389.65
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028? · No0.8000.315$63.00$97.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.375$61.24$8.98
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? · No0.4310.150$39.43$73.95
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? · Yes0.4800.085$13.04$60.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 03:41US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.009$42.35
08-28 03:41Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0062078679$1.26
08-20 05:27Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.88$192.24
08-19 03:52US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?SELL0.63$29.33
08-19 03:11US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.012$7.20
08-19 03:10Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.99$440.35
08-19 03:09Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.988795795$739.30
08-18 02:56Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?SELL0.03$49.48
08-17 07:52Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?SELL0.32$12.07
08-17 05:59Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?SELL0.06$1.20
08-16 03:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.449999955$5.00
08-16 03:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.73$2.04
08-16 02:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.001$3.54
08-16 02:33Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?SELL0.001$0.55
08-15 08:16US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?SELL0.003$4.53