PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SakuraDevil

0x0c3c6cedfc55e5977fd9ad1221b75d25c62a5eea

Realised P&L
$13.9k
Volume
$2.28M
Markets traded
695
Open portfolio
$13.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded695
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9420.955$3.1k+$39.40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8840.915$2.9k+$98.03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3930.465$1.9k+$294.56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9780.999$1.4k+$28.59
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.6430.728$883.33+$103.21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.5800.580$543.46+$0.00
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? · No0.8140.939$469.23+$62.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2150.290$454.46+$117.39
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4670.605$363.00+$83.00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$351.59+$1.86
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8800.935$292.00+$17.18
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? · No0.4910.460$184.65$12.58
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9440.960$171.95+$2.84
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? · No0.8500.685$137.00$33.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5500.635$127.00+$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:44Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?SELL0.58$61.48
08-03 03:22Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?SELL0.59$59.00
08-02 02:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.98$401.80
08-02 02:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.43$216.29
08-02 02:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.42$5.13
08-01 13:34Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?SELL0.27$24.24
08-01 13:23Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026?BUY0.984$39.36
08-01 12:47Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.94$9.39
08-01 07:31Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026?BUY0.96$206.39
08-01 04:07Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026?BUY0.98$84.41
07-31 14:19Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.95$1.1k
07-31 13:53Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.98$700.13
07-31 13:52Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.975$195.00
07-31 13:52Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9732237194$749.71
07-31 02:55Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.97$68.97