SakuraDevil
0x0c3c6cedfc55e5977fd9ad1221b75d25c62a5eea
- Realised P&L
- $13.9k
- Volume
- $2.28M
- Markets traded
- 695
- Open portfolio
- $13.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded695
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.940US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.504US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.954Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$1.5kat 0.900Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$1.5kat 0.910Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:44 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $61.48 |
| 08-03 03:22 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 08-02 02:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $401.80 |
| 08-02 02:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $216.29 |
| 08-02 02:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.13 |
| 08-01 13:34 | Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $24.24 |
| 08-01 13:23 | Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 08-01 12:47 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 08-01 07:31 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $206.39 |
| 08-01 04:07 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $84.41 |
| 07-31 14:19 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.1k |
| 07-31 13:53 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $700.13 |
| 07-31 13:52 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $195.00 |
| 07-31 13:52 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9732237194 | $749.71 |
| 07-31 02:55 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $68.97 |