0x0c3c5e742149e4eb4ba9cb0a8056a2c9de312d70
0x0c3c5e742149e4eb4ba9cb0a8056a2c9de312d70
- Realised P&L
- $9.04
- Volume
- $71.95
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $2.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning vs. Rangers · Lightning | 0.560 | 0.565 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Wild vs. Predators · Wild | 0.580 | 0.565 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Sabres vs. Blue Jackets · Sabres | 0.520 | 0.505 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.54at 0.570Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.97at 0.512Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
- +$0.78at 0.689Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?
- +$0.75at 0.730Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?
- +$0.55at 0.902Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:25 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.70 |
| 09-30 09:20 | Wild vs. Predators | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:19 | Sabres vs. Blue Jackets | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999893 | $1.70 |
| 09-29 09:57 | Lightning vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:54 | Canucks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.7199998443 | $1.11 |
| 09-28 10:52 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:51 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 17:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $2.33 |
| 07-07 16:05 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 20:02 | World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? | BUY | 0.9779999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 12:42 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8899998072 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 10:41 | United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.9439999773 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 10:40 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |