Dionquixote
0x0c2315e4d6416efb777e3a6c783a0d289e59af6c
- Realised P&L
- $-306.51
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $49.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.37at 0.509Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$13.26at 0.830Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$9.61at 0.487LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$8.92at 0.507LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
- +$4.48at 0.023Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 17:24 | LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.3499999408 | $3.55 |
| 07-06 17:23 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.38 | $3.68 |
| 07-06 12:28 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.3899999649 | $3.78 |
| 07-05 09:00 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.9399999948 | $3.64 |
| 07-05 08:31 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.0279999733 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 08:30 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 08:29 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | BUY | 0.4426258127 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 08:27 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 20:48 | Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999931 | $16.63 |
| 07-04 11:34 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.26 | $4.64 |
| 07-04 11:33 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 20:08 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.2498023219 | $47.77 |
| 07-01 20:07 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | SELL | 0.3698155753 | $49.53 |
| 07-01 19:44 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.3990182734 | $84.50 |
| 07-01 19:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $84.49 |