PolyBot

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Traders

Dionquixote

0x0c2315e4d6416efb777e3a6c783a0d289e59af6c

Realised P&L
$-306.51
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$49.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2500.235$44.94$2.83
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · Yes0.1400.035$4.22$12.41
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · G2 Esports0.0280.000$0.00$1.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00$51.23
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Team Secret Whales0.3500.000$0.00$3.55
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? · No0.1070.000$0.00$50.00
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs LOS · LOS0.1530.000$0.00$12.51
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner · G2 Esports0.1920.000$0.00$10.00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI · T10.4900.000$0.00$100.00
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$1.00
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? · Under0.4430.000$0.00$5.00
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Team WE0.3200.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 17:24LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.3499999408$3.55
07-06 17:23LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsSELL0.38$3.68
07-06 12:28LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.3899999649$3.78
07-05 09:00LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.9399999948$3.64
07-05 08:31LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.0279999733$1.00
07-05 08:30LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.1699999759$5.00
07-05 08:29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?BUY0.4426258127$5.00
07-05 08:27LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.2199999727$5.00
07-04 20:48Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.1399999931$16.63
07-04 11:34LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.26$4.64
07-04 11:33LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2799999731$5.00
07-01 20:08Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2498023219$47.77
07-01 20:07Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?SELL0.3698155753$49.53
07-01 19:44Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?BUY0.3990182734$84.50
07-01 19:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.29$84.49