44444zw
0x0c20ede543d0af8ebae3f323b6935d7f796d76bb
- Realised P&L
- $-522.55
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $266.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.666 | 0.994 | $266.46 | +$87.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.32at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$100.00at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$100.00at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$97.86at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
- +$95.07at 0.269Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8535015291 | $111.64 |
| 10-09 00:54 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.7004953669 | $120.20 |
| 10-08 11:28 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099328632 | $156.14 |
| 10-08 11:27 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.6641803427 | $22.10 |
| 10-08 11:27 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.6758217347 | $112.75 |
| 10-08 00:46 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9722422907 | $220.70 |
| 10-03 13:07 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6615306122 | $162.07 |
| 10-03 13:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7234417965 | $505.14 |
| 09-14 02:22 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.712 | $16.43 |
| 08-07 13:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4990349265 | $54.30 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6141369768 | $53.26 |
| 08-04 12:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $31.83 |
| 07-29 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $52.81 |
| 07-27 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9713673838 | $53.73 |
| 07-27 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $85.36 |