Lastworld13
0x0c18cf122dce8556302ff496affe379097aba04c
- Realised P&L
- $-35.5k
- Volume
- $2.45M
- Markets traded
- 463
- Open portfolio
- $224.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded463
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.190 | 0.185 | $87.63 | −$2.37 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.087 | $66.38 | +$7.41 |
| Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.275 | $49.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.145 | $19.08 | −$30.92 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? · No | 0.046 | 0.007 | $2.41 | −$13.59 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.643 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$203.00 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar · Rafael Jodar | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.692Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
- +$5.4kat 0.235Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$3.5kat 0.220US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
- +$2.9kat 0.264US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$2.7kat 0.107US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 13:12 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? | BUY | 0.0969999998 | $16.00 |
| 10-18 11:25 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 11:25 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 11:10 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? | BUY | 0.0753910719 | $13.00 |
| 10-18 11:10 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? | BUY | 0.0704286721 | $29.98 |
| 10-18 11:06 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.1099999996 | $16.00 |
| 10-18 11:06 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.14 | $12.25 |
| 10-18 11:03 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.1199999997 | $34.00 |
| 10-18 11:02 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar | SELL | 0.88 | $85.39 |
| 10-18 10:27 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.5199999975 | $50.46 |
| 10-18 10:27 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? | SELL | 0.0885496661 | $54.09 |
| 10-18 08:00 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4499999971 | $46.77 |
| 10-18 05:45 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4346310281 | $85.00 |
| 10-17 12:23 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 0.7099999987 | $96.20 |
| 10-17 12:11 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7182139913 | $193.00 |