0x0c158b14900Aa6aDc02b863aCFb70108377F4268-1773648220647
0x0c158b14900aa6adc02b863acfb70108377f4268
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $399.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-27.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.97at 0.610US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$16.67at 0.090US military draft authorized in 2026?
- +$-1.75at 0.530US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$-47.42at 0.548Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 18:31 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.2849999955 | $37.32 |
| 04-10 23:18 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.3882089009 | $600.00 |
| 04-10 21:24 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.1356352522 | $20.00 |
| 04-10 21:06 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $66.67 |
| 04-10 21:05 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.3296135172 | $245.81 |
| 04-10 21:04 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.3796144255 | $200.00 |
| 04-05 17:58 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.6942882564 | $200.00 |
| 04-05 17:50 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 04-05 17:35 | Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $50.00 |
| 04-05 17:28 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 04-05 17:20 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $19.81 |
| 04-04 21:27 | Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $24.33 |
| 03-25 02:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 03-25 02:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 03-25 02:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |