DieselFearless
0x0c0e6b1148f6fbf0c82186433170072300bcc459
- Realised P&L
- $-13.52
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $2.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.981 | $2.75 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.05at 0.600UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$1.51at 0.750UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$1.37at 0.550Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?
- +$1.29at 0.680Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$0.87at 0.630Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 23:51 | Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.9669999936 | $2.71 |
| 08-29 00:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9799997055 | $2.13 |
| 08-29 00:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.24 |
| 08-20 02:23 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.35 |
| 08-20 02:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9849998311 | $1.05 |
| 08-13 12:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.9979991057 | $1.02 |
| 08-13 12:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.9819999991 | $2.30 |
| 07-29 14:04 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9909999961 | $1.28 |
| 07-29 14:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9779999875 | $1.56 |
| 07-21 16:30 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.9869999954 | $2.37 |
| 07-21 16:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.9849999964 | $2.70 |
| 07-10 23:32 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.77 |
| 07-10 23:31 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.9789999974 | $3.43 |
| 06-10 16:09 | Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.3k |
| 06-10 15:34 | Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |