0x0c05460340e5f264d9471adafd1aef9f1cfc8cc1
- Realised P&L
- $-12.76
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $40.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.23at 0.430Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
- +$11.34at 0.306Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of March?
- +$10.95at 0.486Will Trump say "Nuclear" during WHCA Dinner events?
- +$10.80at 0.300Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Trump" 10+ times during NYC rally?
- +$9.35at 0.346Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 10:59 | Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.19 |
| 05-03 10:55 | Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.5227197509 | $3.59 |
| 05-03 10:50 | Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.4399999586 | $3.83 |
| 05-02 08:21 | Will Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 05-01 08:30 | Will Trump post "POTUS" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.7199999599 | $3.59 |
| 05-01 08:26 | Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3) | BUY | 0.719999973 | $4.27 |
| 05-01 08:22 | Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3) | BUY | 0.4299999542 | $3.85 |
| 05-01 08:14 | Will Trump say "TrumpRX" this week? (April 27 - May 3) | BUY | 0.6699999939 | $4.38 |
| 04-30 11:24 | Will Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 04-30 11:02 | Will Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1? | BUY | 0.6199999962 | $3.28 |
| 04-29 21:59 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1? | BUY | 0.379999918 | $2.41 |
| 04-29 21:46 | Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 27 - May 3) | BUY | 0.8299998998 | $4.14 |
| 04-29 21:41 | Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3) | BUY | 0.2999999557 | $4.06 |
| 04-28 08:32 | Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit? | BUY | 0.559999943 | $2.75 |
| 04-28 08:22 | Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |