andrewmccann
0x0c04c9544b76214ead9fe6c7e93e8bb4b4e575ab
- Realised P&L
- $-135.16
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $17.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.995 | $15.84 | +$6.28 |
| Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.755 | $1.51 | −$0.05 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of October 12 above $205? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.23at 0.580Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
- +$5.05at 0.650Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22?
- +$0.91at 0.740Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$0.52at 0.960Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$0.38at 0.623Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:39 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9839999986 | $5.57 |
| 01-30 16:46 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.68 |
| 01-30 15:16 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.63 |
| 01-30 14:24 | Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.07 |
| 01-30 12:02 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.48 |
| 12-30 09:05 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.20 |
| 12-29 22:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999923 | $19.60 |
| 12-29 21:14 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.30 |
| 10-30 22:24 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $18.08 |
| 10-30 20:16 | Will XRP reach $3.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.26 |
| 09-29 10:47 | Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | BUY | 0.9949999885 | $16.47 |
| 09-29 03:51 | Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.05 |
| 09-29 01:33 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.12 |
| 09-28 23:42 | Will Solana dip to $150 in September? | BUY | 0.9989999677 | $17.42 |
| 08-31 14:16 | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.56 |