jorgehowars
0x0bebc15576cf9a77f6a1802e65c2a7aed3a52602
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $158.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.994 | $52.66 | +$1.14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.974 | $52.60 | +$1.30 |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.955 | 0.956 | $50.34 | +$0.05 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.976 | 1.000 | $3.38 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.400Angels vs. Athletics
- +$584.76at 0.560Astros vs. Tigers
- +$2.01at 0.961Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?
- +$1.34at 0.961Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?
- +$0.99at 0.978Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 12:22 | Solana Up or Down on August 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $500.00 |
| 08-18 08:20 | Astros vs. Tigers | BUY | 0.56 | $744.24 |
| 08-07 08:50 | XRP Up or Down on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 07-21 10:26 | Padres vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.55 | $708.40 |
| 05-14 10:19 | Nationals vs. Braves | BUY | 0.62 | $605.74 |